ABC 33/40 Weather - 7 Day Planner

Saturday, November 7, 2009
Forecaster: Bill Murray
*Get immediate updates on the ABC 33/40 Weather Blog


Great weather this morning for the Vulcan Run in downtown Birmingham. One of the South’s premiere running events, the 10K run has been continuously run since 1975. It is Birmingham’s longest running road race. With near total sunshine today, temperatures will warm into the lower 70s at most locations. Look for a few clouds overnight with lows in the 40-44 range. Tomorrow looks perfect, with a good supply of sunshine and highs in the upper 70s. We are in the process of issuing a Perfect Weather Watch for Sunday. But by Sunday afternoon, a trough will be swinging into Texas, and that will allow for rain chances to return on Monday.

IDA: Ida is back over the northwestern Caribbean after a jaunt over Nicaragua and Honduras. The center is a little more than 300 miles south southeast of the northeastern tip of the Yucatan. The system became a tropical storm overnight over the warm waters of the Caribbean. As is often the case, there is a great deal of uncertainty about the amount of strengthening that will occur as the storm moves steadily north northwestward and grazes the Yucatan Sunday night, on its way into the southern Gulf. But I would bet that it does become a hurricane by Sunday afternoon over the Caribbean. Ida will move into the Central Gulf and likely merge with a frontal system, becoming extratropical by late Tuesday, when it is just 300 miles south of Mobile. As it encounters increasing shear, it should weaken. It might even turn south over the Gulf before dissipating. This is the forecast. But as we always say with tropical systems, expect the unexpected.

A NEW WORK WEEK: Moisture will move back into Alabama by late Monday, bringing increasing rain chances in the Monday night – Tuesday time frame. The possibility of rain will be affected by the final disposition of Ida. Stay tuned. For now, the expect about three quarters of an inch of rain. High pressure will build in by Wednesday, giving us fair weather for the latter half of the week. It looks like the nice weather could continue into the weekend, although forecast confidence drops as we head through time.

FOOTBALL FORECAST: Alabama hosts LSU at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (2:30 p.m. kickoff). The sky will be sunny with 73 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures falling back into the 60s by the end of the game. You can expect very similar weather for the Auburn/Furman game at Jordan-Hare Stadium; lots of sunshine with temperatures in the 67 to 70 degree range during the game. UAB celebrates homecoming Saturday, as the Blazers host Florida Atlantic at Legion Field (1:00 p.m. kickoff). Expect a sunny sky for that game with a kickoff temperature near 71 degrees.

WEATHERBRAINS: Rave reviews for episode 197. Dr. Chuck Doswell was the guest WeatherBrain. Ear his interesting take on severe weather, the National Weather Service, the warning process and television meteorologists. Listen at www.WeatherBrains.com or subscribe on iTunes. It’s free!

ON THIS DATE IN 2005: Record warmth across much of the country as an autumn warm spell kept most of the country in warmth. Record highs were set at Birmingham (82F) and Tuscaloosa (85F). Six records were set across Central Mississippi, including 86F at Jackson. It was 84F at Fort Smith AR. Other records included 86F at Monroe LA and 83F at Pensacola FL. The reading of 86F at Tupelo tied the all-time November high for the station. 86F at Tulsa and 88F at Childress TX were both records. Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter @wxhistorian.

Today's ABC 33/40 Weather Blog highlight...Watching Ida.......

Saturday - 11/07
clear
A bright, sunny day.
High: 73
Wind: SE 6-12 mph   Sun Percentage: 95%   Hours Of Rain: 0
Rain Potential: 0.00"   Severe Weather Threat: None
Sunday - 11/08
partly_cloudy
Mostly sunny, but increasing clouds overnight.
Low: 48   High: 77
Wind: SE 6-12 mph   Sun Percentage: 80%   Hours Of Rain: 0
Rain Potential: 0.00"   Severe Weather Threat: None
Monday - 11/09
mostly_cloudy
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain by afternoon. Rain chances go up overnight.
Low: 54   High: 70
Wind: SE 7-14 mph   Sun Percentage: 30%   Hours Of Rain: 1
Rain Potential: 0.25"   Severe Weather Threat: None
Tuesday - 11/10
rain
A chance of showers and storms.
Low: 58   High: 68
Wind: SW 7-14 mph   Sun Percentage: 20%   Hours Of Rain: 2
Rain Potential: 0.50"   Severe Weather Threat: None
Wednesday - 11/11
partly_sunny
Partly sunny.
Low: 55   High: 69
Wind: W 6-12 mph   Sun Percentage: 65%   Hours Of Rain: 0
Rain Potential: 0.00"   Severe Weather Threat: None
Thursday - 11/12
partly_cloudy
Partly cloudy.
Low: 44   High: 68
Wind: NE 5-10 mph   Sun Percentage: 70%   Hours Of Rain: 0
Rain Potential: 0.00"   Severe Weather Threat: None
Friday - 11/13
partly_cloudy
Mix of clouds and sun.
Low: 48   High: 69
Wind: NE 5-10 mph   Sun Percentage: 65%   Hours Of Rain: 0
Rain Potential: 0.00"   Severe Weather Threat: None
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